1 Indonesia Palm Oil Output Seen Recovering in 2025, but Biodiesel
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Indonesia plans to execute B40 in January

In that case, prices might rally 10%-15% in Jan-March, Mielke states

B40 will need extra 3 mln lots feedstock, GAPKI says

Malaysia palm oil standard at highest since mid-2022

India may withdraw import tax trek amid inflation, Mistry says

(Adds expert remarks, updates Malaysia's palm oil benchmark rate)

By Bernadette Christina

NUSA DUA, Indonesia, Nov 8 (Reuters) - Indonesia's palm oil output is anticipated to recuperate in 2025 after an expected drop this year, but rates are expected to stay elevated due to organized growth of the country's biodiesel required, industry experts said.

The palm oil standard price in Malaysia has actually increased more than 35% this year, lifted by slow output and Indonesia's plan to increase the compulsory domestic biodiesel blend to 40% in January from 35% now in an effort to minimize fuel imports.

Palm oil output next year in leading manufacturer Indonesia is expected to recuperate by 1.5 million metric lots compared to a projected drop of just over a million heaps this year, Julian McGill, managing director at Glenauk Economics, informed the Indonesia Palm Oil Conference on Friday.

Thomas Mielke, head of Hamburg-based research company Oil World, said he anticipates Indonesia's palm oil production to increase by as much as 2 million lots next year after a 2.5 million heap drop in 2024.

While Indonesia's output is anticipated to enhance, supply from in other places and of other vegetable oils is seen tightening up.

Palm oil output in neighbouring Malaysia is expected to dip a little next year after increasing by an approximated 1 million heaps in 2024.

"We would require a healing in palm in 2025 since combined exports of soya, sunflower and rapeseed oils are declining," Mielke stated.

'FRIGHTENING' PRICE SURGE

The cost rise in palm oil in the previous seven weeks has been "frightening" for buyers, Mielke said, adding that it would rally by 10%-15% in January-March if Indonesia enforces the so-called B40 policy.

The Indonesia Palm Oil Association stated additional feedstock of around 3 million heaps will be required for B40 application, eroding export supply.

The present palm oil premium has already triggered palm to lose market share against other oils, Mielke added.

Malaysian palm oil prices are seen trading at around $950 to $1,050 per metric lot in 2025, McGill of Glenauk approximated.

Benchmark Malaysian palm oil touched 5,104 ringgit ($1,165.30) on Friday, the greatest given that mid-2022.

"Sentiment right now is red-hot and incredibly bullish, we need to take care," said Dorab Mistry, director at goods company Godrej International.

He forecast the Malaysian rate around 5,000 ringgit and above until June 2025.

Mielke and Mistry prompted Indonesia to

consider postponing

B40 execution on concern about its influence on food consumers.

Meanwhile, Mistry expected leading palm oil importer India to withdraw its

import responsibility walking

imposed from September after elections in the state of Maharashtra in November. ($1 = 4.3800 ringgit) (Reporting by Bernadette Christina Munthe Writing by Fransiska Nangoy